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Wagner Daily Lite – The Small Cap Russell 2000 Rips Higher $UWM, $IWM, $EPU

March 27, 2012

Monday was a good day for Wall Street. Stocks gapped up at the open and never looked back. By the closing bell all five major indices closed more than 1% higher and near session highs. For a second consecutive day the small-cap Russell 2000 led the advance, as it claimed a 2.0% gain. The Nasdaq finished a close second as it improved by 1.8%. Both the S&P 500 and the S&P MidCap 400 added 1.4%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average tacked on 1.2%. Of the 104 sectors that we track, only coal ended the day lower. Insurance, healthcare and heavy construction were the day’s big winners as each closed higher by 2.5% or more

Market internals were decidedly bullish on Monday. Volume on the Nasdaq was up by 14.0% and on the NYSE by 1.0%. Advancing volume overpowered declining volume by a ratio of 6.1 to 1 on the NYSE and 4.2 to 1 on the Nasdaq. Based on yesterday’s strong price action, higher volume and higher advancing volume, we would characterize the day as an accumulation day for both indices.

Yesterday, on a burst in volume, the iShares MSCI Taiwan Index Fund (EWT) undercut its 20-day MA and recovered to close at session highs. A move above the two day high of $13.54 could provide a buy entry trigger in this ETF. We are monitoring the setup closely for a possible long entry.


Since setting a swing high on March 19th, the iShares Dow Jones Real Estate Index Trust (IYR) has pulled back and held support at its 20-day EMA. On two of the last three sessions, IYR has undercut the 20-day EMA. This price action serves to “shake” weak hands out of the trade and sweep poorly placed stops. If IYR can find its way back above the three day high of $62.06, it could present a buying opportunity in this ETF.

The commentary above is a partial excerpt from The Wagner Daily, our nightly stock and ETF swing trading newsletter. Subscribing members additionally receive specific entry and exit prices for all swing trade setups, more technical market commentary, annotated ETF and stock charts, and access to our Live Trading Room. Click here to become a member for less than $2 per day (based on annual subscription). Your full satisfaction is guaranteed.

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